GGOALVIO

Peru · Segunda División · 4/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Marcos · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Academia Cantolao are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while San Marcos are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Academia Cantolao hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (28.0 v 10.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.8% in the Segunda División, while San Marcos holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Marcos

Probability

34.8%

Model confidence

34.8%

San Marcos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Academia CantolaoDWLWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
San MarcosLLLLD

GF 2 · GA 18 · avg 0.40/3.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Academia CantolaoSan Marcos
30.3Attack6.7
30.3Defence0.0
18.2Form0.0
28.0Power10.9
1.26xG1.31
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