Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
AC Oulu are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while VPS are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and VPS hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (52.5 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Veikkausliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60