Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AC Oulu · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AC Oulu 0-0 SJK
Original prediction
AC Oulu
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 45.8% | 50.6% | 4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 26.2% | 25.6% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.31 | 28.0% | 23.8% | -4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.53 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
AC Oulu
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
50.6%
AC Oulu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AC OuluWLLWD
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
SJKLLDWL
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AC OuluSJK
39.7Attack39.7
60.3Defence47.6
52.4Form28.6
52.5Power40.1
1.40xG0.83