AC Ouluvs
HJK Helsinki
COMPLETEDFinland · Veikkausliiga · 10/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HJK Helsinki · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AC Oulu 3-4 HJK Helsinki
Original prediction
HJK Helsinki
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 13:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.25 | 21.8% | 28.0% | 6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.5% | 29.5% | 5.0 pts |
| Away | 1.72 | 53.7% | 42.5% | -11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.1–114%
Predicted outcome
HJK Helsinki
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
HJK Helsinki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60