Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
AC oulu are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FC Lahti are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.5 against 52.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.2% in the Veikkausliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
23.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80