GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 3/7/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Slavia Praha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AC Milan are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Slavia Praha are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Slavia Praha hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Slavia Praha holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Slavia Praha

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

46.8%

Slavia Praha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AC MilanWDLLW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Slavia PrahaDLWWD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AC MilanSlavia Praha
72.2Attack75.0
50.0Defence61.1
50.0Form61.1
57.2Power63.5
1.54xG2.08
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