AC Horsensvs
Viborg
COMPLETEDDenmark · Superliga · 8/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viborg · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AC Horsens 2-3 Viborg
Original prediction
Viborg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.34 | 21.6% | 28.6% | 7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 24.4% | 26.6% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.73 | 54.0% | 44.8% | -9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Viborg
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Viborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AC HorsensWWLLD
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ViborgWWDLW
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AC HorsensViborg
40.0Attack46.7
53.3Defence86.7
46.7Form66.7
49.7Power66.7
1.05xG1.34