AC Horsensvs
Sonderjyske
COMPLETEDDenmark · Superliga · 10/25/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AC Horsens · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AC Horsens 5-1 Sonderjyske
Original prediction
AC Horsens
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 05:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 39.0% | 50.1% | 11.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 27.2% | 23.1% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 33.8% | 26.8% | -7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
AC Horsens
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
AC Horsens has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80