GGOALVIO

Denmark · 1. Division · 8/4/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AC Horsens · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AC Horsens are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while HB Koge are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and AC Horsens hold a 32.3-point power-rating edge (46.9 v 14.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the 1. Division, while AC Horsens holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AC Horsens

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

48.3%

AC Horsens has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AC HorsensLLWLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HB KogeWWLWW

GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
AC HorsensHB Koge
38.5Attack11.1
53.1Defence11.1
44.8Form0.0
46.9Power14.6
1.63xG1.00
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