AC Horsensvs
Aarhus
COMPLETEDDenmark · Superliga · 9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AC Horsens · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AC Horsens 2-2 Aarhus
Original prediction
AC Horsens
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.00 | 23.3% | 49.1% | 25.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 25.5% | 21.7% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 1.82 | 51.2% | 29.2% | -22.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.66 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
25.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
AC Horsens
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
AC Horsens has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80