Abu Qair Semadvs
Asyut Petrol
COMPLETEDEgypt · Premier League · 10/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Abu Qair Semad 0-0 Asyut Petrol, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Abu Qair Semad 1-2 Asyut Petrol
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.9% | 35.1% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.80 | 32.7% | 32.2% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.74 | 24.4% | 32.7% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Projected Score
Abu Qair Semad 0–0 Asyut Petrol
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.2%
Model confidence
35.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Abu Qair SemadDLLLL
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Asyut PetrolLLLLD
GF 0 · GA 9 · avg 0.00/1.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Abu Qair SemadAsyut Petrol
6.7Attack6.7
46.7Defence66.7
20.0Form13.3
28.9Power32.2
0.81xG0.87