Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Sunday, 28 June 2026Last updated 17:32
Abtswind

Abtswind

Home
W
32
Full time
FC Schweinfurt 05

FC Schweinfurt 05

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

FC Schweinfurt 0533%
Abtswind33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Abtswind
Win probability
Abtswind
33%
Draw
33%
FC Schweinfurt 05
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Abtswind
94
FC Schweinfurt 05
73
Defence
Abtswind
27
FC Schweinfurt 05
6
Momentum
Abtswind
100
FC Schweinfurt 05
0
Danger (xG)
Abtswind
2.70
FC Schweinfurt 05
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 2.53 xG for Abtswind and 1.71 xG for FC Schweinfurt 05 — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Abtswind holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. Abtswind's Attack Score (94) exceeds FC Schweinfurt 05's Defensive Stability (6), and FC Schweinfurt 05's attack (73) similarly tests Abtswind's defence (27). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 4.24 — high attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Abtswind)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (FC Schweinfurt 05)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Abtswind)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (FC Schweinfurt 05)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
AbtswindAbtswind
W
FC Schweinfurt 05FC Schweinfurt 05
LL

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Abtswind33%
Draw33%
FC Schweinfurt 0533%

FC Schweinfurt 05 leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Abtswind Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

Abtswind host FC Schweinfurt 05 in Friendlies Clubs. Abtswind have recorded LLLLLW in recent matches while FC Schweinfurt 05 arrive with a run of LDLWLL. These sides have met 4 times recently, averaging 4.3 goals per game.

Key factors

: 🔄 Head-to-Head Trend The last 4 meetings between these sides have averaged 4.3 goals per game — a historically high-scoring fixture that the model factors into its goal projection.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 2.53 for Abtswind and 1.71 for FC Schweinfurt 05. The gap of 0.81 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Abtswind have been conceding 3.00 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Head to head

Abtswind 1Draws 00 FC Schweinfurt 05
Avg goals: 5.0BTTS in 1/1
28 Jun 2026
Abtswind
W32
FC Schweinfurt 05

Recent form

Abtswind

Abtswind

W
vs FC Schweinfurt 05
28 Jun 2026
32
FC Schweinfurt 05

FC Schweinfurt 05

L
@ Abtswind
28 Jun 2026
23
L
vs Erzgebirge Aue
16 May 2026
24

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Abtswind vs FC Schweinfurt 05?

GoalVio's model predicts Abtswind to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Abtswind vs FC Schweinfurt 05?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Abtswind vs FC Schweinfurt 05?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Abtswind vs FC Schweinfurt 05?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more