Abia Warriorsvs
Rivers United
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 10/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rivers United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 1-1 (13%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Abia Warriors 0-0 Rivers United
Original prediction
Rivers United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 43.0% | 25.9% | -17.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 30.9% | 26.9% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 3.48 | 26.1% | 47.1% | 21.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.94 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
21.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–115%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
Rivers United
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Rivers United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40