Abia Warriorsvs
Bendel Insurance
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 9/27/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bendel Insurance · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Abia Warriors 3-0 Bendel Insurance
Original prediction
Bendel Insurance
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 56.5% | 34.2% | -22.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 27.9% | 27.2% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 5.79 | 15.6% | 38.5% | 22.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
22.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Bendel Insurance
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Bendel Insurance has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40