Abhavs
Al-Faisaly FC
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 10/27/2026, 12:40:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Abha · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Abha 0-1 Al-Faisaly FC
Original prediction
Abha
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.8% | 37.6% | -7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.2% | 28.0% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.26 | 28.0% | 34.4% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Abha
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Abha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AbhaLLDLL
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Al-Faisaly FCLDWLD
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AbhaAl-Faisaly FC
22.2Attack36.7
37.0Defence33.3
7.4Form23.3
25.5Power34.6
1.24xG1.28