Abhavs
Al-Ettifaq
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 9/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Ettifaq · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Abha 0-1 Al-Ettifaq
Original prediction
Al-Ettifaq
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.89 | 31.9% | 30.4% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 26.3% | 24.9% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.20 | 41.9% | 44.7% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Al-Ettifaq
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
Al-Ettifaq has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20