GGOALVIO

Aberystwyth Town logoAberystwyth Townvsllanelli AFC logollanelli AFC

SCHEDULED

Wales · FAW Championship · 8/31/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aberystwyth Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Aberystwyth Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while llanelli AFC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Aberystwyth Town hold a 33.2-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 26.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely result in the FAW Championship, favouring Aberystwyth Town with 9.2% confidence, a 70% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aberystwyth Town

Probability

60.3%

Model confidence

9.2%

Aberystwyth Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aberystwyth TownLWDLD

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
llanelli AFCDLLLW

GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 0.80/3.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Aberystwyth Townllanelli AFC
100.0Attack33.3
33.3Defence16.7
50.0Form16.7
59.3Power26.2
2.57xG1.41
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