Aberdeenvs
Kilmarnock
COMPLETEDScotland · Premiership · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aberdeen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aberdeen 0-0 Kilmarnock
Original prediction
Aberdeen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 54.8% | 47.1% | -7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 24.3% | 25.8% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 4.51 | 20.9% | 27.1% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.87 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Aberdeen
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Aberdeen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20