League CupLeague Cup
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 14:55
Aberdeen

Aberdeen

Home
W
30
Full time
Kelty Hearts

Kelty Hearts

Away
L
Pittodrie Stadium
GoalVio prediction
48% confidence
Aberdeen(48%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Aberdeen
48%
Draw
24%
Kelty Hearts
28%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Aberdeen
73
Kelty Hearts
9
Defence
Aberdeen
91
Kelty Hearts
27
Momentum
Aberdeen
100
Kelty Hearts
0
Danger (xG)
Aberdeen
1.80
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Aberdeen)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Kelty Hearts)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Aberdeen)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Kelty Hearts)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
AberdeenAberdeen
WL
Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts
L

Probability breakdown

48% confidence
Aberdeen48%
Draw24%
Kelty Hearts28%

Aberdeen leads with 48% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Aberdeen head into this in League Cup fixture at Pittodrie Stadium in mixed form (W), while Kelty Hearts arrive in mixed form (L). Aberdeen have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Kelty Hearts over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Aberdeen's strong attack (73/100) faces a vulnerable Kelty Hearts defence (27/100), while Kelty Hearts's attack is up against a watertight Aberdeen backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Aberdeen's favour.

Aberdeen have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Kelty Hearts have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Aberdeen and Kelty Hearts in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Aberdeen to win with 48% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Aberdeen 4772%, Draw 2395%, Kelty Hearts 2833%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Aberdeen

Aberdeen

W
@ Brora Rangers
14 Jul 2026
20
L
vs ST Mirren
12 May 2026
02
Kelty Hearts

Kelty Hearts

L
vs Queen's Park
14 Jul 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Aberdeen vs Kelty Hearts?

GoalVio's model predicts Aberdeen to win with 48% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Aberdeen vs Kelty Hearts?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Aberdeen vs Kelty Hearts?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Aberdeen vs Kelty Hearts?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more