Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FCSB · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Aberdeen are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FCSB are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FCSB hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while FCSB holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FCSB
Probability
35.0%
Model confidence
35.0%
FCSB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00