Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Celtic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Aberdeen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Celtic are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Celtic hold a 45.0-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 92.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the Premiership, while Celtic holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Celtic
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Celtic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20