Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aberdeen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Aberdeen are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while BK Hacken are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and BK Hacken hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 38.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Aberdeen holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aberdeen
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Aberdeen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60