GGOALVIO

Scotland · Challenge Cup · 8/15/2023, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aberdeen U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Aberdeen U21 are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Peterhead are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Aberdeen U21 hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Challenge Cup, while Aberdeen U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aberdeen U21

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Aberdeen U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aberdeen U21D

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
PeterheadDWLLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Aberdeen U21Peterhead
100.0Attack100.0
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
97.0Power88.7
2.05xG1.68
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