GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

ABECAT Ouvidorense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Uberlandia are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Uberlandia hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 32.4% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

32.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ABECAT OuvidorenseDDWLW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
UberlandiaLWLLD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ABECAT OuvidorenseUberlandia
26.7Attack43.1
70.0Defence74.5
40.0Form62.7
47.9Power62.6
0.42xG0.74
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