GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/2/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

ABECAT Ouvidorense are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ivinhema are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and ABECAT Ouvidorense hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

45.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ABECAT OuvidorenseLDLLD

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
IvinhemaWLWWL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ABECAT OuvidorenseIvinhema
26.7Attack33.3
70.0Defence52.4
40.0Form40.5
47.9Power44.2
0.82xG0.54
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