Abdish-Atavs
Toktogul
COMPLETEDKyrgyzstan · Premier League · 4/4/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Abdish-Ata are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Toktogul are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Toktogul hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (34.4 v 41.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.5%
Model confidence
35.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/2.00