GGOALVIO

Kyrgyzstan · Premier League · 4/8/2023, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

OshMU Aldier · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Abdish-Ata are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (DLWD), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.50 conceded, while OshMU Aldier are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and OshMU Aldier hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (34.4 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Premier League, while OshMU Aldier holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

OshMU Aldier

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

OshMU Aldier has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Abdish-AtaDLWD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.75/1.50

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
OshMU AldierL

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Abdish-AtaOshMU Aldier
33.3Attack47.4
40.4Defence40.4
22.8Form40.4
34.4Power44.0
1.24xG1.60
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