GGOALVIO

Kyrgyzstan · Premier League · 4/11/2023, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Muras United · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Abdish-Ata are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Muras United are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Muras United hold a 36.1-point power-rating edge (34.4 v 70.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.2% in the Premier League, while Muras United holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Muras United

Probability

76.2%

Model confidence

76.2%

Muras United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Abdish-AtaWDLWD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Muras UnitedDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Abdish-AtaMuras United
33.3Attack68.5
40.4Defence70.4
22.8Form72.2
34.4Power70.5
0.57xG2.50
View match centre →