GGOALVIO

Kyrgyzstan · Premier League · 8/8/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Abdish-Ata are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Kara-Balta are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Abdish-Ata hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 22.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Premier League, favouring a draw with 12.2% confidence, a 51% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

25.6%

Model confidence

12.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Abdish-AtaDDLLD

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Kara-BaltaLLDLD

GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Abdish-AtaKara-Balta
33.3Attack31.5
44.4Defence13.0
24.1Form13.0
36.0Power22.4
1.78xG0.93
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