GGOALVIO

World · AFC Challenge League · 10/29/2024, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Abdish-Ata are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Arkadag are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Abdish-Ata hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (69.6 v 66.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.8% in the AFC Challenge League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

33.8%

Model confidence

33.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Abdish-AtaWWWLW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ArkadagWWWWW

GF 22 · GA 7 · avg 4.40/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Abdish-AtaArkadag
50.0Attack57.1
83.3Defence66.7
75.0Form71.4
69.6Power66.4
1.23xG1.20
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