GGOALVIO

Abdish-Ata logoAbdish-AtavsAlay logoAlay

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Kyrgyzstan · Premier League · 5/17/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alay · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Abdish-Ata are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Alay are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Alay hold a 24.4-point power-rating edge (34.4 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.6% in the Premier League, while Alay holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alay

Probability

56.6%

Model confidence

56.6%

Alay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Abdish-AtaWLLWL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AlayDWLDW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Abdish-AtaAlay
33.3Attack48.1
40.4Defence63.0
22.8Form59.3
34.4Power58.8
0.74xG1.70
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