GGOALVIO

Abdish-Ata logoAbdish-AtavsAlay logoAlay

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Kyrgyzstan · Premier League · 4/16/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alay · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Abdish-Ata are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Alay are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alay hold a 24.4-point power-rating edge (34.4 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.6% in the Premier League, while Alay holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alay

Probability

56.6%

Model confidence

56.6%

Alay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Abdish-AtaWWDLW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
AlayDWWDL

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Abdish-AtaAlay
33.3Attack48.1
40.4Defence63.0
22.8Form59.3
34.4Power58.8
0.74xG1.70
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