Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vitoria · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
ABC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Vitoria are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Vitoria hold a 23.4-point power-rating edge (37.4 v 60.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.0% in the Serie B, while Vitoria holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vitoria
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
Vitoria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00