Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ABC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
ABC are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Laguna are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DLW), averaging 0.67 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and ABC hold a 48.3-point power-rating edge (68.7 v 20.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.0% in the Serie D, while ABC holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ABC
Probability
85.9%
Model confidence
20.0%
ABC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.67/0.67