ABBvs
Universitario de Vinto
COMPLETEDBolivia · Primera División · 9/4/2026, 9:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ABB · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ABB 2-0 Universitario de Vinto
Original prediction
ABB
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.7% | 51.1% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.2% | 20.7% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 3.48 | 26.1% | 28.1% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
ABB
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
ABB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ABBLLDLL
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Universitario de VintoDWLLL
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ABBUniversitario de Vinto
52.9Attack41.2
27.5Defence35.3
33.3Form29.4
39.9Power36.8
2.25xG1.64