ABBvs
Real Potosí
COMPLETEDBolivia · Primera División · 10/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Potosí · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 1-1 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ABB 0-1 Real Potosí
Original prediction
Real Potosí
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 36.0% | 23.4% | -12.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 26.0% | 23.7% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.43 | 37.9% | 52.9% | 15.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Real Potosí
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
Real Potosí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40