Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HB · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
AB are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while HB are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and HB hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (47.0 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Meistaradeildin, while HB holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HB
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
HB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40