Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AB · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
AB are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while B68 are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and AB hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (47.0 v 33.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.3% in the Meistaradeildin, while AB holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AB
Probability
60.3%
Model confidence
60.3%
AB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60