Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AB · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
AB are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while 07 Vestur are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AB hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (47.0 v 34.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.4% in the Meistaradeildin, while AB holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AB
Probability
60.4%
Model confidence
60.4%
AB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20