AB Copenhagenvs
Sonderjyske
COMPLETEDDenmark · DBU Pokalen · 9/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AB Copenhagen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AB Copenhagen 3-1 Sonderjyske
Original prediction
AB Copenhagen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.77 | 32.6% | 40.1% | 7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.7% | 25.3% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 40.8% | 34.6% | -6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–17%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
AB Copenhagen
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
AB Copenhagen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40