GGOALVIO

Denmark · 1. Division · 9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AB Copenhagen · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

AB Copenhagen 3-0 Esbjerg

Original prediction

AB Copenhagen

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0345.4%47.7%2.3 pts
Draw3.7324.6%24.9%0.3 pts
Away3.0630.0%27.4%-2.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.0–09%

Predicted outcome

AB Copenhagen

Probability

47.7%

Model confidence

47.7%

AB Copenhagen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AB CopenhagenWLLLW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
EsbjergWDLLW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AB CopenhagenEsbjerg
33.3Attack41.7
58.3Defence33.3
25.0Form20.8
40.1Power35.1
1.50xG1.00
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