AB Copenhagenvs
Aarhus Fremad
COMPLETEDDenmark · 1. Division · 10/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AB Copenhagen · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: AB Copenhagen 0-0 Aarhus Fremad, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
AB Copenhagen 2-0 Aarhus Fremad
Original prediction
AB Copenhagen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 44.2% | 38.0% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.4% | 30.4% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 29.4% | 31.6% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.2 pts
Projected Score
AB Copenhagen 0–0 Aarhus Fremad
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
AB Copenhagen
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
AB Copenhagen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00