Aarhusvs
Vendsyssel FF
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 10/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aarhus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aarhus 2-1 Vendsyssel FF
Original prediction
Aarhus
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 09:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 64.6% | 50.2% | -14.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.57 | 19.8% | 25.6% | 5.8 pts |
| Away | 5.76 | 15.7% | 24.2% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Aarhus
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Aarhus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80