Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aarhus · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Aarhus are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Vejle are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 48.3 against 46.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Superliga, while Aarhus holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aarhus
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Aarhus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40