Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
13%
MediumconfidenceAarhus are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sabah FA are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sabah FA hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 73.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the UEFA Champions League, favouring a draw with 13.0% confidence, a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
27.5%
Model confidence
13.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AarhusDWDLW
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sabah FAWWWWW
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AarhusSabah FA
66.7Attack53.3
44.4Defence80.0
66.7Form80.0
59.5Power73.1
1.32xG1.52