GGOALVIO

Aarhus logoAarhusvsFC Nordsjaelland logoFC Nordsjaelland

COMPLETED

Denmark · Superliga · 7/31/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aarhus · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Aarhus are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Nordsjaelland are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Nordsjaelland hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.3% in the Superliga, while Aarhus holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aarhus

Probability

34.3%

Model confidence

34.3%

Aarhus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AarhusLWLDD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FC NordsjaellandWLDWD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
AarhusFC Nordsjaelland
50.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence83.3
33.3Form66.7
48.3Power64.8
1.33xG1.31
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