Aarhusvs
FC Midtjylland
COMPLETEDDenmark · Superliga · 9/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Midtjylland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aarhus 0-2 FC Midtjylland
Original prediction
FC Midtjylland
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.16 | 29.6% | 28.5% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 26.1% | 25.3% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.11 | 44.4% | 46.2% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
FC Midtjylland
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
FC Midtjylland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60