Aarhusvs
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 10/22/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aarhus · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aarhus 1-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Original prediction
Aarhus
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 22 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 64.6% | 43.2% | -21.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.45 | 21.1% | 26.5% | 5.4 pts |
| Away | 6.53 | 14.3% | 30.3% | 16.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.45 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–08%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Aarhus
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Aarhus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00