SuperligaSuperliga
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:01
Aarhus

Aarhus

Home
W
11
Full time
Brondby

Brondby

Away
W
Vejlby Stadion
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Aarhus(40%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Aarhus
40%
Draw
27%
Brondby
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Aarhus
73
Brondby
100
Defence
Aarhus
91
Brondby
66
Momentum
Aarhus
100
Brondby
100
Danger (xG)
Aarhus
1.80
Brondby
7.20
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Aarhus)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Brondby)
7.20
avg per match
xG against (Aarhus)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Brondby)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
AarhusAarhus
WD
BrondbyBrondby
WW

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Aarhus40%
Draw27%
Brondby33%

Aarhus leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Aarhus head into this in Superliga fixture at Vejlby Stadion in mixed form (W), while Brondby arrive in mixed form (W). Aarhus have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Brondby over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Aarhus (91/100) and Brondby (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Aarhus have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Brondby have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Aarhus have generated 1.27 xG per game recently while conceding 1.76 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Brondby have generated 2.09 xG per game recently while conceding 1.95 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Aarhus and Brondby in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Aarhus to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Aarhus 4016%, Draw 2707%, Brondby 3276%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Aarhus

Aarhus

W
vs AC Horsens
15 Jul 2026
20
D
vs FC Midtjylland
26 Apr 2026
00
xG 1.3
Brondby

Brondby

W
vs Hvidovre
28 Jun 2026
81
W
@ FC Midtjylland
17 May 2026
32
xG 2.1

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Aarhus vs Brondby?

GoalVio's model predicts Aarhus to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Aarhus vs Brondby?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Aarhus vs Brondby?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Aarhus vs Brondby?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more