Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Wednesday, 15 July 2026Last updated 10:07
Aarhus

Aarhus

Home
W
20
Full time
AC Horsens

AC Horsens

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Aarhus40%
Draw35%
AC Horsens25%
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Aarhus
Win probability
Aarhus
40%
Draw
35%
AC Horsens
25%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Aarhus
73
AC Horsens
9
Defence
Aarhus
91
AC Horsens
27
Momentum
Aarhus
100
AC Horsens
0
Danger (xG)
Aarhus
1.80
AC Horsens
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Aarhus)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (AC Horsens)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Aarhus)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (AC Horsens)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
AarhusAarhus
WD
AC HorsensAC Horsens
LD

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Aarhus40%
Draw35%
AC Horsens25%

Aarhus leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Aarhus head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (W), while AC Horsens arrive in mixed form (L). Aarhus have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for AC Horsens over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Aarhus's strong attack (73/100) faces a vulnerable AC Horsens defence (27/100), while AC Horsens's attack is up against a watertight Aarhus backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Aarhus's favour.

Aarhus have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. AC Horsens have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Aarhus have generated 1.27 xG per game recently while conceding 1.76 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

Aarhus have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Aarhus to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Aarhus 3981%, Draw 3504%, AC Horsens 2516%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Aarhus 1Draws 00 AC Horsens
Avg goals: 2.0
15 Jul 2026
Aarhus
W20
AC Horsens

Recent form

Aarhus

Aarhus

W
vs AC Horsens
15 Jul 2026
20
D
vs FC Midtjylland
26 Apr 2026
00
xG 1.3
AC Horsens

AC Horsens

L
@ Aarhus
15 Jul 2026
02
D
vs Hvidovre
16 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Aarhus vs AC Horsens?

GoalVio's model predicts Aarhus to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Aarhus vs AC Horsens?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Aarhus vs AC Horsens?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Aarhus vs AC Horsens?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more